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Farmer-Herder Conflicts: Nigeria's Invisible Humanitarian Crisis

WatchNigeria EditorialMay 30, 20265 min read
Farmer-Herder Conflicts: Nigeria's Invisible Humanitarian Crisis

They do not call it a war. But it looks like one.

Across the states of Nigeria's Middle Belt — Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa, Taraba, Kaduna, and parts of Kogi and Niger — a prolonged, devastating conflict between Fulani pastoralists and settled farming communities has been consuming lives, livelihoods, and social fabric for over a decade.

In 2025 and early 2026, the Global Terrorism Index ranked the Fulani militant conflict as one of the four deadliest non-state conflicts in the world — ahead of several more globally recognized insurgencies.

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What Is Driving the Conflict

Climate change: Southward desertification has pushed cattle herding routes into previously agricultural zones, creating competition for land that was not contested a generation ago.

Population growth: Both farming and herding communities have grown rapidly, intensifying pressure on shared land resources.

Proliferation of small arms: The same weapons pipelines supplying bandits in the North-West have made Fulani herder militias far more deadly. Machetes have been replaced by AK-47s.

Governance failure: National grazing reserve legislation has never passed due to political opposition from farming-community governors.


The Human Cost

In Benue State alone, governor Hyacinth Alia has reported over 1,000 farming community deaths from herder attacks in 2025. Church burnings and mosque burnings are regular features. Hundreds of thousands of Middle Belt farmers have abandoned their lands.


What Needs to Happen

Security experts broadly agree on the framework: a credible national grazing reserve policy, community mediation programs at LGA level, state-funded conflict early warning systems, and aggressive prosecution of violence from all sides.

For 2027 presidential candidates, this conflict is a test. The candidate who can articulate the most credible plan for ending it will deserve — and may well receive — the votes of millions of Middle Belt Nigerians.

#Farmer Herder Conflict#Middle Belt#Security#Benue#Plateau#Nigeria
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WatchNigeria Elections Team

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